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ISSUER DIRECT CORP (ISDR)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 revenue was $7.687M, up 10% sequentially vs Q1 ($6.962M) and down 20% YoY vs Q2 2023 ($9.651M); gross margin improved to 77% from 75% in Q1. GAAP net income was ~$0.007M ($0.00 diluted EPS), and non-GAAP EPS was $0.22 .
  • Communications was flat YoY and +9% QoQ; ACCESSWIRE revenue increased 17% QoQ on volume recovery and pricing, with average price up ~15% in the quarter. Compliance revenue fell 53% YoY given prior-year one-time proxy/print projects; deferred revenue ended Q2 at $5.476M .
  • Management announced a plan to sell the Compliance business and pivot fully to subscription/MRR, targeting ~$400k quarterly cost savings in H2 and an additional $300–500k by year-end; term loan covenants were amended and the company aims to be debt-free nearly two years earlier if the sale occurs .
  • Consensus estimates from S&P Global were unavailable for ISDR this quarter; no beat/miss analysis vs Street can be provided. We will monitor for SPGI mapping availability.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • ACCESSWIRE rebounded: “revenue increased 17% over the first quarter,” with volumes “come back in line” and average price up ~15%, driven by new large accounts and broader distribution add-ons .
  • Margin execution: Communications gross margin rose to 78% (from 75% in Q1), supporting consolidated gross margin improvement to 77% in Q2 .
  • Strategic pivot: Management “beginning the process to establish a time line to sell the Compliance business” and shift to subscription-first MRR, alongside $400k per quarter cost savings in H2 and further $300–500k by year-end .

What Went Wrong

  • Top-line YoY decline: Q2 revenue fell 20% YoY to $7.687M, reflecting the absence of 2023’s one-time proxy/print projects; compliance revenue down 53% YoY .
  • GAAP profitability compressed: Operating income declined to $334k vs $1.747M in Q2 2023 and GAAP net income fell to $7k from $1.363M; operating cash flow was negative $(190)k in Q2 .
  • Project-driven Compliance volatility: Transfer agent and print/proxy volumes were lower as market activity slowed, highlighting lumpiness and underscoring the need for a portfolio mix shift to recurring communications .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$7.539 $6.962 $7.687
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.19) $(0.04) $0.00
Gross Margin (%)74% 75% 77%
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$(0.105) $(0.052) $0.334
EBITDA Margin (%)3% 13% 15%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)14% 11% 19%
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.15 $0.08 $0.22
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$0.770 $0.986 $(0.190)

Key comparisons:

  • Q2 YoY: Revenue $7.687M vs $9.651M (-20%), gross margin 77% vs 76% (+100bps), GAAP EPS $0.00 vs $0.36, Non-GAAP EPS $0.22 vs $0.53 .
  • Q2 QoQ: Revenue +10% vs Q1, Communications +9%, ACCESSWIRE +17% .

Segment and mix:

Segment Mix/ChangeQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Communications % of Revenue75% 78% 77%
Compliance YoY Change+20% YoY −27% YoY −53% YoY

KPIs:

KPIQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Active Customers (TTM)11,924 12,093 12,388
Subscriptions (Count)1,053 1,043 1,032
Deferred Revenue ($USD Millions)$5.412 $5.584 $5.476
Avg Subscription ARR per Customer ($/yr)$8,523 (Q2’23) $10,057 (Q2’24)

Note on commentary discrepancy: CEO noted “combined news distribution brands…revenues grew 12% YoY” for the quarter, while press release shows Communications flat YoY; the CEO’s remark appears to be specific to the news distribution sub-segment within Communications rather than total segment revenue .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
News Distribution VolumesH2 2024“Flat remainder of year” (early indicators) Volumes up; exceeding pace to reach high-teens % by year-end; targeting ~20% next year Raised
Cost Savings (Run-rate)H2 2024 onwardNot quantified~$400k per quarter; plus $300–500k additional by year-end New/Quantified
Subscription/MRR Pivot2024–2025Testing subscriptions; 5–10% quarterly subscription growth Full shift underway; pilot added ~100 subscriptions in a month; report MRR/churn/NDR next quarter Accelerated
Avg Subscription ARR per CustomerThrough Q3 2025~$6,750 entry tier; mid/high tiers planned ~$14,000 per year target by Q3 2025 Raised
Capital Allocation2024Hold cash; dividends/paydown unlikely in 2024 Consider buybacks if excess cash and after covenant compliance; potential proceeds from Compliance sale for debt paydown and buybacks More optionality
Debt Reduction TimelineOriginal maturity Dec 2028$20M term loan; ~$18M balance at Q2 Aim to be debt-free almost two years earlier contingent on Compliance sale; covenants amended for headroom Pulled forward

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2023 (Q-2)Q1 2024 (Q-1)Q2 2024 (Current)Trend
AI/Technology (AImee)Media Suite launched; ARR tiers and roadmap Capitalized dev $245k; platform enhancements ~20% customers using AImee for drafting; higher usage in pitching; plan to monetize via auto scheduling by year-end Adoption rising; monetization ahead
Macro/Industry VolumesMarket share up; Canada slowdown; incumbents’ volumes tracked Industry-wide PR volumes flat; pricing pressure in Q1 PR slowdown tied to capital markets; industry CAGR ~8% historically, now ~0%; ISDR gaining share Industry weak; ISDR share gains
Product Performance (ACCESSWIRE/Newswire)ACCESSWIRE +1% QoQ; pricing held ACCESSWIRE down YoY; aggressive pricing/APIs; margins pressured ACCESSWIRE revenue +17% QoQ; avg price +15%; large account wins; add-ons broaden regions Rebound and mix/pricing tailwind
Regional TrendsCanada cautious; U.S. pricing/lift More global add-ons (NA, APAC, Europe) in distribution packages Broader geo distribution
R&D ExecutionNew CTO; product teams; Media Suite iteration focus Capitalized $245k dev; IR webcast/website growth New customer experience and product orgs; plan to disclose MRR/NDR next quarter Scaling org for SaaS KPIs
Regulatory/Legal/ComplianceCompliance growth from projects Compliance down sharply; project-based volatility Plan to sell Compliance; consider shared services with buyer; accounting treatment for discontinued ops Strategic exit

Management Commentary

  • “We are beginning the process to establish a time line to sell the Compliance business…to be a fully public relations and investor relations communication technology company.”
  • “Volumes were up…combined news distribution brands showed nice signs of recovery…Average price did move 15% higher as well for the quarter.”
  • “We will see approximately $400,000 of savings per quarter…further savings…$300,000 to $500,000 by the end of the year.”
  • “We…entered into an amendment of the term loan to modify the covenants…believes that [we] will be able to exit a portion of the Compliance business…to be debt-free almost 2 years earlier than originally planned.”
  • “Subscription customers…up 2% year-over-year…pilot…added 100 of these new subscriptions…we will be moving our metrics to MRR, churn rate, net dollar retention…”

Q&A Highlights

  • Buybacks and capital allocation: Management will prioritize generating cash and covenant compliance; repurchases are possible if excess cash is achieved and/or from sale proceeds, consistent with past buybacks .
  • Volume/pricing dynamics: Volume rebound reflects market share gains and new sales leadership; pricing uplift from larger customers and expanded regional add-ons (NA/APAC/Europe) .
  • Compliance divestiture: No formal process yet; market canvass planned; target to complete within <6 months if market values align; potential shared services post-transaction .
  • AImee adoption: ~20% of customers use AImee for drafting; highest usage in pitching; roadmap to auto-schedule posts and drive subscription revenue by year-end .
  • Industry slowdown drivers: Capital markets constraints reduce PR output; budgets down across PR firms; ISDR growing share even as industry growth near zero .
  • Subscription pilot conversion/margins: ~50% one-call closes with existing customers; MRR product at ~80% gross margin with defined add-on roadmap .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global were unavailable for ISDR this quarter due to missing CIQ mapping. As a result, we cannot provide a formal beat/miss analysis vs consensus. We will monitor for mapping resolution to include estimate comparisons in future quarters.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Sequential recovery with margin leverage: Revenue +10% QoQ, gross margin +200bps QoQ to 77%, and EBITDA/Adj. EBITDA margins improved; ACCESSWIRE volumes/pricing momentum are tangible positives .
  • Strategic simplification is a catalyst: Planned sale of Compliance and pivot to subscription/MRR should reduce lumpiness, enhance visibility, and potentially re-rate valuation toward SaaS peers .
  • Cost actions underpin near-term earnings power: ~$400k/qtr savings in H2 plus $300–500k incremental by year-end create operating leverage if volumes/pricing sustain .
  • Balance sheet path improves: Covenant amendments plus potential proceeds from Compliance sale could accelerate debt-free status nearly two years earlier than planned; optionality for buybacks increases thereafter .
  • KPI evolution: Expect disclosure of MRR, churn, and NDR next quarter; average subscription ARR per customer already at $10,057, with management targeting ~$14,000 by Q3 2025 .
  • Watch narrative risks: Project-based Compliance declines, industry-wide PR volume softness, and Q2 negative operating cash flow highlight execution importance through the transition .
  • Near-term trading setup: Potential announcement milestones (Compliance sale process, subscription metrics, volume/pricing updates) are likely stock catalysts in H2; monitor inbound enterprise wins and ACCESSWIRE growth .